Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.425891 0.500578 0.582557 0.678953 0.788923 0.910184 1.053721
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.310369 0.409121 0.528277 0.681469 0.871893 1.099419 1.390306
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.240618 0.350243 0.493627 0.692157 0.956731 1.293629 1.750902
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.190338 0.302765 0.460661 0.693759 1.023264 1.465643 2.096198
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.147283 0.254832 0.416276 0.669058 1.045904 1.576165 2.365061
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.126436 0.235219 0.408054 0.692358 1.135212 1.782642 2.779633
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.108782 0.216754 0.397657 0.709086 1.213961 1.977880 3.190918
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.099141 0.209884 0.404248 0.752247 1.335943 2.245120 3.726351
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.083924 0.189666 0.384684 0.748612 1.381078 2.396174 4.094030
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.070492 0.170030 0.362804 0.737343 1.410877 2.523209 4.430569
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.059903 0.153909 0.344719 0.729885 1.445093 2.658029 4.786198
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.053311 0.145016 0.339134 0.744449 1.518497 2.861848 5.265991
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.046707 0.134948 0.330127 0.752178 1.581738 3.055637 5.746822
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040608 0.124761 0.319337 0.755036 1.636146 3.238101 6.220804
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036014 0.117316 0.313322 0.766760 1.708193 3.456380 6.769898
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.031412 0.108725 0.303285 0.768525 1.760399 3.641588 7.270971
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025891 0.096063 0.281455 0.741526 1.751664 3.712641 7.570168
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023813 0.093102 0.282910 0.767001 1.852989 3.997178 8.274726
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021623 0.089226 0.281397 0.785285 1.940404 4.259998 8.952583
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020831 0.089763 0.291570 0.832433 2.093542 4.659641 9.907640
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018166 0.083146 0.281283 0.828463 2.134104 4.838726 10.451638
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015588 0.076037 0.268352 0.816156 2.154602 4.978151 10.925601
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.013497 0.070073 0.257630 0.808010 2.183432 5.135481 11.441349